Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1
at 三咖啡店冠賽
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-0-2
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.8%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
56.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1543
· median 1543
· range 1543–1543
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1214
Q3 1431
1543
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 17.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Water Fractal | 17.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.7 |
| Water Genbu | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
